Talk:2024 Cook by-election

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2CP "swing"[edit]

@Totallynotarandomalt69 LIB v ALP and LIB v GRN are two different metrics, so a swing between them does not make statistical sense. This is why the AEC does not calculate a swing to the Liberals [1]. If 60% of people preferred apples to oranges last year, but 70% of people preferred apples to bananas this year, that doesn't mean apples are 10%pts more popular. ITBF (talk) 07:47, 15 April 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Should first off make it clear I somewhat agree with you, it's obviously a different metric, but the Liberal post-preference vote is still a thing regardless of who it's against

I can find more examples but the following pages show swings at a by-election (where it's LIB/ALP v non-LIB/ALP) compared with the previous election where it was LIB/ALP, and all show the swing from the previous election

A such I think we should stick with these pages and many more and keep the swing in the Liberal 2PP/2CP box there

That being said - the "swing" in the section directly across from the "hold/gain" section should be blank or say "N/A" Totallynotarandomalt69 (talk) 07:58, 15 April 2024 (UTC)[reply]

Those articles are wrong too - I'll raise it at the noticeboard as this is a wider issue. We should be sticking with the official AEC source. ITBF (talk) 06:52, 22 April 2024 (UTC)[reply]

That's fair enough, if noticeboard consensus leans to changing, go with it obv Totallynotarandomalt69 (talk) 06:53, 22 April 2024 (UTC)[reply]